jueves, 3 de junio de 2021

Stop the privatization of the Electric Power Authority (PREPA) by means of LUMA. (petition)


The proposed privatization of PREPA through LUMA is both an injustice to thousands of workers and their families, an attack on the energy justice of communities, and a perpetuation of the fossil fuel pollution that threatens the planet. Puerto Rico needs an energy change but LUMA is NOT the necessary change.

This is not the time for LUMA, it is the time to reflect and plan in advance for a cleaner and healthier environment, it is also a reminder of how minorities and low-income communities (in Puerto Rico more than 60% of the population) are forgotten and attacked by the type of polluting energy system that LUMA represents.

Climate change disproportionately affects those who suffer from socioeconomic inequalities.

A March 2019 study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) found that minority and low-income communities experience 56% and 63%, respectively, more pollution, which is characterized as an "additional pollution burden.".

See:

https://www.pnas.org/content/116/13/6001

Puerto Rico has 44 coastal towns, more than 270 miles (501 km) of coastline, and some 1,200 beaches. 25% of our geography is flat land adjacent to the sea. Puerto Rico is an archipelago that includes several islands (Vieques, Culebra, Mona, Monito, Caja de Muertos, Desecheo, and the keys that surround them).

New research says the total collapse of a crucial ice sheet in Antarctica could mean sea level rises 30% more than scientists currently predict.

The study, published in Science Advances, looks at how melting ice in the West Antarctic ice sheet will affect the Earth's crust underneath. Current predictions say that the ice sheet will raise sea level by 10.8 feet (3.3 meters) if it completely melts over the next 1000 years, but this study found that the onset of the bedrock could add a total 3.3 feet (1 meter) to current predictions. Furthermore, the models the researchers used show that predictions of sea level rise from the ice sheet by the end of this century could be 20% higher due to this bedrock effect.

See:

https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/18/eabf7787.full

"This will reduce the amount of accommodation space for water, further raising sea levels on time scales ..." says Bethan Davies, a glacier researcher at Royal Holloway University in London.

See:

https://apple.news/AW92FI5kURG2sZSOVXP0Q9g

The climate crisis also affects coastal erosion by intensifying severe weather events. “Five municipalities in different areas of Puerto Rico had coastal sediment losses of between 40 and 50 meters due to erosion problems caused by Hurricane María in September 2017, according to a study revealed this Thursday. Mayagüez, Isabela, Dorado, Hatillo and Yabucoa are the municipalities that have suffered these losses of coastal sediment, according to the report "Findings of the state of the beaches of Puerto Rico post-hurricane María", by the geological oceanographer Maritza Barreto Orta. Professor at the Graduate School of Planning at the University of Puerto Rico and director of the Institute for Coastal Research and Planning of Puerto Rico. "

See:

https://www.panamaamerica.com.pa/opinion/la-erosion-en-las-costas-de-puerto-rico-1170690

“Some of the coastal areas of Puerto Rico that have been most affected by erosion are Ocean Park, in San Juan; Suárez and Villa Cristiana plots in Loíza; Fortuna, in Luquillo, Punta Salinas, in Toa Baja; La Boca in Barceloneta, Barrio Obrero in Arecibo, as well as others in Rincón and Humacao. "

See:

https://www.periodicolaperla.com/puerto-rico-vive-una-erosion-critica-por-huracanes-y-construcciones/

Recently, Professor Méndez Tejeda (Rafael Méndez Tejeda, professor and director of the Laboratory of Atmospheric Sciences of the University of Puerto Rico (UPR) in Carolina) explained that for more than 25 years he has studied global warming. This phenomenon translates into accelerating changes in the atmosphere, which has repercussions in transcendental situations such as those that have been occurring in recent years ... ”It is enough to visit the coasts of the Island —as in Arecibo or Loíza— to know we have a worrying coastal erosion. "

See:

https://www.elvocero.com/actualidad/call-to-combatir-el-calentación-global/article_d083e138-a306-11eb-afca-a79e36ae5a54.html

So the problem is more than evident, we are losing a part of our island and the unquestionable scientific fact is that methane, the largest component of natural gas, is a climate super-pollutant 86 times more powerful to heat the atmosphere than carbon dioxide over a 20-year period.

On our Caribbean island, the sun is undoubtedly a source of greater potential, the wind is also a presence impossible to ignore, and however, the LUMA proposal obviates these potentials and seeks to perpetuate the energy model based on natural gas. The International Energy Agency (IEA) declared that reaching net zero emissions by 2050 is a global goal.

See:

https://theconversation.com/amp/wondering-if-your-energy-company-takes-climate-change-seriously-a-new-report-reveals-the-answer-161360

https://www.iea.org/news/pathway-to-critical-and-formidable-goal-of-net-zero-emissions-by-2050-is-narrow-but-brings-huge-benefits-according-to-iea-special-report

In the report, they evaluated companies that were not aligned with the Paris targets, including and highlighting ATCO, the Canadian natural gas company that owns 50% of LUMA's shares.

Let's be clear LUMA / natural gas / methane must be eliminated now: How much methane, one of the most powerful sources of global warming, is there in the atmosphere that comes from the oil and natural gas industry? New research, published in Nature, suggests that natural geological sources make up a much smaller fraction of the methane in today's atmosphere. Instead, the researchers say, the methane is most likely attributable to industry. Together, the results indicate that we have underestimated the impacts of methane from fossil fuel extraction by as much as 40 percent.

On a 20-year time scale, a molecule of methane is about 90 times more effective at trapping heat in the atmosphere than a molecule of carbon dioxide, the greenhouse gas that exerts the most control over future warming of the planet. Long-term land. Atmospheric methane concentrations have increased by at least 150 percent since the Industrial Revolution. Due to its power, the more there is in the air, the more difficult it will be to prevent the planet's temperatures from skyrocketing beyond global climate targets.

It means that oil and gas production has had a bigger and messier impact on the greenhouse gas budget than scientists knew. But the more methane emissions that can be attributed to human activity such as oil and gas extraction, the more control means that legislators, companies and regulators have to solve the problem, it means in Puerto Rico eliminating the LUMA energy model.

"So what we are saying is that the fossil fuel portion is larger than we think, and we can have a greater influence on the portion size, because it is something that we can control." says Benjamin Hmiel, lead author of the study and a researcher at the University of Rochester.

See:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-1991-8

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/super-potent-methane-in-atmosphere-oil-gas-drilling-ice-cores

The rationale is clear, and unthinkably ironic, after Hurricane Maria, the island experienced the destruction of its energy system. Later, the good news is received that there will be an extraordinary allocation of federal funds to rebuild that system. The cruel irony is to invest these once-in-a-lifetime funds in a system that directly drives the crisis that produces hurricanes like Maria in addition to increasing environmental heat and coastal erosion.

Research led by the University of Arizona, published in Geophysical Research Letters, suggests that more record temperatures will actually occur in the tropics, where there is a large and rapidly growing population. As the study's lead author, Xubin Zeng, director of the Arizona Center for Hydrometeorology and Climate Dynamics and a professor of atmospheric sciences, put it: "The second fact is that warming over land is greater than over the ocean." The question now is: Where do we see the most extreme heat events?

Over the tropics, where it is hot and humid, raw temperature data reveals smaller temperature fluctuations. But when the temperature is normalized, or divided, by temperature fluctuations over the same period, the data shows that the tropics have more normalized warming and are actually experiencing more record-breaking heat events.

This new perspective allowed Zeng and his team to describe the threat to these areas in a new way. "Temperature trends in the tropics do not need to be that great to break records and affect the environment, ecosystem and human well-being," write Zeng and the study co-authors.

This is important because marine heat waves are not well understood, but they would likely have large impacts on marine ecosystems. Zeng also publishes annual hurricane forecasts. He said warming oceans not only leads to more intense hurricanes, but ocean temperatures affect climate in other ways as well.

See:

https://apple.news/AojS6--3-TIqnVXMrv_szeA

On May 27, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released its 10-year study, which included dire predictions: There is a 90 percent chance that one of the next five years will be the hottest on record, and a 40 percent chance. that we experience a year with a global average temperature 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit above pre-industrial levels.

The WMO found that 2020 had an average global temperature of about 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit above pre-industrial levels. And over the next five years, the organization predicts that the average global temperature will be about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than pre-industrial levels.

See:

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/united-nations-report-shows-climate-change-accelerating-180977860/

The global warming that has already taken place may be even worse than we thought. That's the conclusion of a new study that finds that satellite measurements have likely underestimated the warming of the lower levels of the atmosphere over the past 40 years.

That means satellite measurements of the troposphere have either underestimated its temperature or overestimated its humidity, study leader Ben Santer, a climate scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) in California, said in a statement.

See:

https://www.llnl.gov/news/satellites-may-have-undeestimated-warming-lower-atmosphere

In other words, the measurements that show the least warming may also be the least reliable.

See:

https://www.space.com/satellites-underestimated-global-warming

More than a third of heat deaths in the world each year are directly due to global warming, according to the latest study to calculate the human cost of climate change. But scientists say that is only a small part of the total cost of the climate, even more people die from other extreme weather events amplified by global warming, such as storms, floods and droughts, and the numbers of deaths from heat will grow exponentially with rising temperatures.

Dozens of researchers who analyzed heat deaths in 732 cities around the world between 1991 and 2018 calculated that 37% were caused by higher temperatures from human-caused warming, according to a study published in the journal Nature Climate Change.

That works out to about 9,700 people a year from those cities alone, but that's much more worldwide, the study's lead author said.

“These are heat-related deaths that are actually preventable. It's something we directly cause, ”said Ana Vicedo-Cabrera, an epidemiologist at the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine at the University of Bern in Switzerland.

See:

https://apple.news/AGYPAKLrxSrmpapLY56KSsg

Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., Scovronick, N., Sera, F. et al. The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change. Nat. Clim. Chang. (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x

Climate change disproportionately affects those who suffer from socioeconomic inequalities.

Racial, social, and ethnic disparities in air pollution show that exposure to particulate matter is disproportionately caused by patterns called environmental discrimination and racism.

It is essential to ensure that communities bearing a disproportionate pollution burden have a voice in decision-making processes that affect their health, resilience, and vitality, environmental experts say.

The underlying message of the fossil fuel-based energy model is that these communities and people matter less than others based on a fiction of business economics. These communities are disproportionately victims of environmental hazards and are much more likely to live in areas with higher pollution.

Abundant data shows that low-income communities like Guayama breathe the worst air and have excessive rates of pollution-related illnesses such as asthma and other respiratory problems associated with the energy system. There is data of higher mortality associated with this contamination.

Annually, the oil and gas industry releases tons of methane gas and other toxic chemicals into the atmosphere, and low-income communities are disproportionately affected.

In addition, exposure to poor air quality can cause numerous health problems such as asthma. About 13.4% of low-income children suffer from asthma compared to just 7.3% of other children.

Science warns that the proportion of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes has increased at a rate of ~ 25-30% per ° C of global warming after considering the analysis and observing the system changes. This has been balanced by a similar decline in the proportions of Category 1 and 2 hurricanes, leading to the development of a clearly bimodal intensity distribution, with the secondary maximum in Category 4 hurricanes. This global trend is replicated in all ocean basins.

See:

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1713-0

The biggest storms in recent years were driven by climate change, which increased the amount of torrential rains. Future storms could be even windier, wetter, and potentially more destructive.

The researchers evaluated 15 tropical cyclones (which are called hurricanes when they form in the Atlantic) from the last decade and then simulated how the storms would have behaved during pre-industrial times, before the arrival of recent climate change. They also analyzed possible future scenarios, modeling what storms would look like if Earth's climate continued to warm.

The scientists' findings, published in the journal Nature, paint a sobering picture of a future marked by supercharged hurricane seasons.

See:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0676-z?utm_medium=affiliate&utm_source=commission_junction&utm_campaign=3_nsn6445_deeplink_PID100052171&utm_content=deeplink

The researchers investigated the role that a warm climate could play in hurricane force winds and rainfall, looking at factors such as greenhouse gas concentrations, humidity, and temperature variations in air and ocean water.

They found that hurricane rainfall increased under climate change scenarios, with Hurricanes Katrina, Irma and Maria producing 5 to 10 percent more rain than they could have generated under pre-industrial conditions.

Future storms are likely to get windier, with maximum wind speeds increasing by as much as 53 km / h (33 mph). Precipitation is also predicted to increase in hurricanes by 25 to 30 percent, if current emissions remain uncontrolled, the scientists reported.

Warming oceans is already recognized as a fuel source for more intense hurricane seasons. And rapidly accumulating evidence shows how climate change is directly affecting individual storms.

"We are already beginning to see anthropogenic factors influencing tropical cyclone rainfall," study lead author Christina Patricola, a research scientist in the Division of Climate and Ecosystem Sciences at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, said in a statement.

See:

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2018-11/dbnl-csp111218.php

"Our simulations clearly indicate that as time passes we can expect to see even greater increases in precipitation," added Patricola.

More rainfall during seasonal hurricanes carries a higher risk of flooding in regions close to the coasts.

But the dangers of coastal life can also be intensified by another factor: the human transformation of rural and suburban areas into more urban settings. The scientists found that urbanization significantly increased the amount of rain that fell during the storm and also increased the risk of flooding.

See:

https://www.space.com/42464-wetter-storms-climate-change.html

The president of LUMA has said and repeated that LUMA will be ready to face a Category 2 hurricane. His statements are an admission of disability.

LUMA Energy Chief Executive Officer Wayne Stensby assured that they are ready to respond to a hurricane emergency "... should such an atmospheric phenomenon reach Category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale." 

The quote is taken from:

https://www.elnuevodia.com/noticias/locales/notas/luma-energy-alega-tener-suficientes-recursos-para-un-huracan-categoria-2/

Stipulated: They are not ready or nor adequately prepared for the task even after a year of supposed preparations for which they requested payments in excess of $130 million.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted an active Atlantic hurricane season for 2021. NOAA said it expects six to ten hurricanes to occur during the year, and three to five of them are likely to become major hurricanes. Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Forecasters predict a 60% chance of an above-normal season.

By 2021, a likely range of 13 to 20 named storms (winds 39 mph or greater), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds 74 mph or greater), including 3-5 major hurricanes (Category 3 , 4 or more). 5; with winds of 111 mph or more). NOAA provides these ranges with 70% confidence.

https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-predicts-another-active-atlantic-hurricane-season

The expensive LUMA preparations did NOT meet the necessary mínimums in what is known to be a major priority (hurricane María).

From 1981 to 2010, there were, on average, 12.1 named storms, 6.4 hurricanes, and 2.7 major Category 3 or higher hurricanes each year. In the new period, from 1991 to 2020, there were an average of 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, and 3.2 hurricanes 3-5 each year, according to data analyzed by Brian McNoldy, principal investigator at the University of Miami. .

Hurricane Hugo hit Puerto Rico as a category 3-4 in 1989. Since then, the total volume of storms is higher in the new 30-year period. From 1991 to 2020, those numbers increase.

Storms are getting wetter, because warmer air can hold and then drop more torrential rains, while hurricane scientists are confident that global warming is making stronger storms stronger when it comes to winds.

Over the past century, the water temperature of the tropical Atlantic has risen by 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit. With that in mind, it makes sense that global warming is causing an increase in hurricane activity and strength.

In this context, LUMA itself admits that it is not prepared, nor does it recognize that it is precisely fossil fuels, especially methane / natural gas, that are driving this trend of strengthening cyclones.

See:

https://climate.nasa.gov/blog/2956/how-climate-change-may-be-impacting-storms-over-earths-tropical-oceans/

https://thehill.com/changing-america/sustainability/climate-change/551948-rising-temperatures-wetter-storms-are-now-the

So science repeatedly proves beyond doubt that the social costs and environmental effects of the fossil fuel energy model imply environmental injustice.

It is not a mystery that federal funds are what the LUMA project is looking for, as expressed in Quanta Services documents in their messages to investors. 

Doing good business in itself is not a bad idea, but profiting from a bad idea is never good business.

We must not forget the science: Methane emissions can be reduced by up to 45 percent in this decade to help meet global warming management goals.

Science looks at the air and climate pollution costs and benefits of methane mitigation and says a 45 percent reduction would prevent 260,000 premature deaths, 775,000 asthma-related hospital visits, 73 billion work hours’ losses due to extreme heat and 25 million tons. of crop losses annually.

How can it be a good idea to just forget about science and exploit public funding for the sole benefit of corporate interests while putting the island in grave danger?

Why should we act now and stop LUMA?

The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) says updated indicators show that "climate change has become even more apparent, stronger and more extreme."

In a study published in the journal Science Advances entitled Cost-effective implementation of the Paris Agreement using flexible greenhouse gas metrics, Johannes Morfeldt explains, "The cumulative greenhouse effect over a 100-year period for methane gives a conversion factor of 28. This means that one kilogram of methane is 28 times more powerful than one kilogram of CO2. However, since methane has a shorter life and a greater radiative impact than CO2, the cumulative effect in 20 years is much more significant. : 84 times more than 1 kilogram of CO2. "By changing the time horizon, the conversion factor changes and, therefore, if a kilogram of methane is 84 times more important than one of CO2, it will be more effective to reduce global emissions by reducing methane.

See:

https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/22/eabf9020.full

On the island, both legislative bodies have called for the LUMA project to be stopped, the College of Engineers and the Puerto Rico Bar Association also, as well as a joint demonstration of all religious denominations and environmental groups, and thousands of energy workers, the same ones who heroically sacrificed themselves after Maria are losing their jobs while LUMA talks about a tax on the sun.

Many on the island wonder how LUMA can fit into the new energy policies and there is no logical answer.

If it is ever necessary to stop an inconceivable contract, it is now that the fate of Puerto Rico and the planet are in danger.

Cutting methane by 45% this decade would keep warming below a threshold in the Paris Agreement. Taking action has multiple benefits, including: rapid reduction in warming, which can help prevent dangerous climate tipping points; improve air quality that can save hundreds of thousands of lives; improve food security by preventing crop failure; and creating jobs through mitigation efforts while increasing productivity through reducing heat stress.

See:

https://www.unep.org/resources/report/global-methane-assessment-benefits-and-costs-mitigating-methane-emissions

”Our analysis shows that 100% clean electricity from a combination of solar, wind and battery (SWB) is physically possible and economically affordable throughout the continental United States, as well as in the vast majority of other populated regions of the world by 2030. SWB adoption is growing exponentially around the world and disruption is now inevitable because by 2030 they will offer the cheapest electricity option for most regions. Coal, gas and nuclear power assets will be stranded during the 2020s, and there are no new investments in these technologies, from this point on. But the replacement of conventional power technology by SWB is just the beginning.

As has been the case with many other outages, SWB will transform our energy system in fundamental ways. The new system that emerges will be much larger than the existing one we know today and will have a completely different architecture that operates in unknown ways.

One of the most contradictory and extraordinary properties of the new system is that it will produce a much greater amount of energy overall, and that this overabundance of clean energy production, which we call a superpower, will be available at almost zero marginal cost at all times. much of the year in almost all populated places. SWB's disruption of energy will parallel the digital disruption of information technology. Just as computers and the Internet cut the marginal cost of information and opened the door to hundreds of new business models that have collectively had a transformative impact on the global economy, SWB will also cut the marginal cost of electricity and create a plethora of opportunities ...”

See:

https://www.rethinkx.com/energy-executive-summary

A growing number of frontline doctors and healthcare workers are turning to climate activism to urge world leaders to declare climate change a public health emergency.

Their demands for immediate action include a focus on preventive health care with educational programs in schools and the community at large, more equitable distribution and access to health care, reducing the carbon footprint of health care, and more control strict of industries to ensure clean water and air.

Underscoring the progressive nature of their platform, the protesters also called for the creation of citizen assemblies to guide strategic health decisions. Their demands were listed in a petition, signed by more than 1,200 leading doctors and healthcare workers around the world.

WHO chief Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, who welcomed the protesters, said that while "the pandemic will end, there is no vaccine for climate change." Later, he tweeted that health and climate change were "inextricably intertwined" and that the WHO would "stand in solidarity and urge global action" with the protesters.

In fact, the WHO and the prestigious medical journal Lancet have declared that climate change is the greatest threat to global health in the 21st century, a statement made even before the Covid-19 crisis.

Professor Valerie D'Acremont, an infectious disease physician and global health specialist at Lausanne University Hospital, is among those speaking out because "governments and the public have not understood the strong links between climate change and the loss of biodiversity and health ... We want governments to act,”she said.

“Many of us feel that there is no point in doing our job because we are fed up with always being behind, preparing for the next health catastrophe instead of acting on the root causes of problems. Covid-19 is an illustration of this problem ... Some diseases such as cardiovascular and respiratory diseases will increase more strongly, but it is more difficult for people to establish a link with climate change because they already exist, "said D'Acremont.

D ’Acremont said there was already a movement among the health professions to talk about the gaps in the health care system, although he agrees that climate activism among physicians is a relatively new phenomenon.

“Some public health experts were already saying that we cannot continue in this direction. The human side of medicine is being lost because the health system does not allow us to do preventive medicine. The system has to adapt and climate change is proving this point”.

During the pandemic, data confirmed direct links between global air pollution levels and Covid-19 outbreaks, with spikes observed where outbreaks were active.

See:

https://apple.news/AGw3YzNlgReib_0cf3qgdDA

This petition calls, first and foremost, for a pause to rethink the fundamental aspects of the energy policy proposal based on scientific criteria that include the social costs of the climate impacts involved and that it be widely discussed with the full participation of the communities.

The petition was originated by Roberto Ortiz-Feliciano, a Puerto Rican citizen and resident. All translations, editions, and texts are free and motivated exclusively by my interest in the public good and commitment to a better world. This petition as of Sunday, June 6, 2021 has been endorsed by 10,709 signatures.

See:

https://www.change.org/p/departament-of-energy-detengan-la-privatizaci%C3%B3n-de-la-autoridad-de-energ%C3%ADa-el%C3%A9ctrica-aee-mediante-luma

 

 


14 comentarios:

  1. Enough of complicit media: while LUMA uses misleading image advertising (joke that says nothing) its few open commercial offices are poorly served, proliferating long lines and the truth is that the corporate media are campaigning in their favor, distracting the public with a anti-union hysteria campaign.
    The indisputable fact is that LUMA after spending a year “preparing” to assume power in PREPA, they simply did not comply (despite the fact that in seven months, LUMA charged about $ 78 million for preparaciones, and eventually in May 2021 they billed in excess of $130 million).
    Today they do not have the staff that they themselves considered necessary without even evaluating how many of the people they hired have the necessary preparation and experience.
    Where they unquestionably prove their mediocre preparation is for the ongoing hurricane season. LUMA, through expressions of its president to El Nuevo día, accepted to be ready only for a Category 2 hurricane.
    "LUMA Energy claims to have sufficient resources for a Category 2 hurricane. Chief Executive Officer Wayne Stensby assured that they are ready to respond to an emergency ... should such an atmospheric phenomenon reach Category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale." Taken from:
    https://www.elnuevodia.com/noticias/locales/notas/luma-energy-alega-tener-suficiencia-recursos-para-un-huracan-categoria-2/
    Stipulated: They are not ready or trained.
    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted an active Atlantic hurricane season for 2021. NOAA said it expects six to ten hurricanes to occur during the year, and three to five of them are likely to become major hurricanes. Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Forecasters predict a 60% chance of an above-normal season.
    By 2021, a likely range of 13 to 20 named storms (winds 39 mph or greater), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds 74 mph or greater), including 3-5 major hurricanes (Category 3 , 4 or more). 5; with winds of 111 mph or more). NOAA provides these ranges with 70% confidence.
    https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-predicts-another-active-atlantic-hurricane-season
    Thus the expensive LUMA prep did NOT make it. Every commentator and government official (including the governor) who has expressed some version of "Ay bendito, let's give the a chance" is an accomplice in a dangerous farce where they have vilely deceived the people. There is no blessed Ay bendito. They rob us and assault us ... !!! NO to LUMA ... !!!

    Pachi Ortizfeliciano

    ResponderEliminar
  2. Regarding the information that has been cited I would like to add a topic previously not mentioned and then corroborate factual statements:
    First, Quanta Services [Quanta Services, Inc. (NYSE: PWR)] closed 2020 with heavy losses due to its Latin American startups that have ceased operations in Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Mexico, Panama and Peru.
    "The company has been seeking to exit its Latin American operations (LATAM), which management believes has been substantially completed. Quanta's LATAM operations generated operating losses of $ 27.1 million (including $ 7.0 million of asset impairment and $ 2.7 million million severance payments and restructuring charges), ..., in the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to operating losses of $ 3.6 million ... Diluted and adjusted diluted earnings per share attributable to common shares for the year ended 31 December 2019 were impacted by operating losses associated with Quanta's Operations in LATAM of $ 85.7 million ... "
    https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/quanta-services-reports-fourth-quarter-and-annual-2020-results-301235339.html
    Second,
    HOUSTON, June 1, 2021 / PRNewswire / - Quanta Services, Inc. (NYSE: PWR) today announced that LUMA Energy, LLC (LUMA), a joint venture between Quanta Services (Quanta) and Canadian Utilities Limited, an ATCO company Ltd. (ATCO), has begun operations and maintenance of the Puerto Rico electric power transmission and distribution (T&D) system ... Quanta and ATCO each own 50% of LUMA ... "
    https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/quanta-atco-joint-venture-luma-energy-commences-operation-and-maintenance-of-puerto-ricos-electric-power-transmission-and-distribution- system-301302623.html
    "LUMA is owned 50% by Canadian Utilities, an ATCO company, and 50% by Quanta Services, an infrastructure project execution company"
    https://www.atco.com/en-ca/about-us/stories/historic-win-puerto-rico-luma.html
    Regarding the third:
    "LUMA Energy, LLC, a newly created company comprised of ATCO Ltd. (ATCO) and Quanta Services, Inc. (Quanta) - and supported by IEM - was selected by the Puerto Rico Public-Private Partnerships Authority (P3) to restore, upgrade and manage Puerto Rico's electricity transmission and distribution (T&D) system for a period of 15 years ... IEM, which supports ATCO and Quanta, will provide federal funds management, as well as critical emergency management and crisis response support. IEM Puerto Rico is currently working with the Puerto Rico Department of Housing to address recovery needs from the 2017 hurricanes. "
    https://iem.com/iem-joins-quanta-and-atco-in-luma-team-to-transform-puerto-ricos-electricity-system/
    And as a preliminary addition, I could cite the recent ABC News post titled "New Business, Same Problems: Puerto Rico Suffers Power Outage."
    "... Many in Puerto Rico expected a rapid improvement in service, but customers complain that it has worsened in the first days of Luma's operations, with problems complicated by heavy rains this week followed by the explosion.
    "This has turned into chaos," said Javier Jiménez, mayor of the western town of San Sebastián ... "
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/abcnews.go.com/amp/International/wireStory/company-woes-puerto-rico-suffers-power-outages-78216310

    NotaEd: free translation, editing and some additional writing by
    Pachi Ortizfeliciano

    ResponderEliminar
  3. STOP LUMA: One impact of climate change is that the number and severity of climate-related disasters is increasing.
    With global warming, several factors combine to make extreme weather more common. Higher temperatures are more likely to produce heat waves and drought conditions, increasing the likelihood of wildfires. Warmer air can hold more water vapor, leading to wetter storms and, with them, more flooding. Increased heat and evaporation have also combined to make tropical cyclones more common and more severe in recent years.
    As global surface temperatures rise, more droughts and greater intensity of storms are likely. As more water vapor evaporates into the atmosphere, it becomes fuel for more powerful storms to develop. More heat in the atmosphere and warmer ocean surface temperatures can cause increased wind speeds in tropical storms. Rising sea levels exposes higher places that are generally not subject to the power of the sea and the erosive forces of waves and currents.
    See:
    https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/how-can-climate-change-affect-natural-disasters-1?qt-news_science_products=0#qt-news_science_products
    Simply put, changes in the global climate exacerbate climate hazards and amplify the risk of extreme weather disasters. Rises in air and water temperatures lead to rising sea levels, supercharged storms and higher wind speeds, more intense and prolonged droughts, and seasons of more intense wildfires, rainfall and floods. The evidence is overwhelming and the results devastating:
    The number of weather-related disasters has tripled in the last 30 years.
    Between 2006 and 2016, the rate of global sea level rise was 2.5 times faster than it was for most of the 20th century.
    More than 20 million people a year are forced from their homes by climate change.
    See:
    https://www.oxfam.org/en/5-natural-disasters-beg-climate-action
    When fossil fuels are burned to generate electricity, heat, and transportation, carbon dioxide, a greenhouse gas that traps solar radiation, is released into our atmosphere.
    Over the past century, massive increases in carbon dioxide, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions have caused our planet's temperature to rise. That rise in global temperatures is fueling weather disasters that will only get worse unless we take action. Experts say we have a decade to avoid a climate catastrophe.
    See:
    https://earthjustice.org/features/how-climate-change-is-fueling-extreme-weather

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  4. STOP LUMA: Research says methane is likely attributable to industry. Together, the results indicate that we have underestimated the impacts of methane from fossil fuel extraction by as much as 40 percent.
    See:
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-1991-8
    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/super-potent-methane-in-atmosphere-oil-gas-drilling-ice-cores?cmpid=int_org=ngp::int_mc=website::int_src=ngp: : int_cmp = amp :: int_add = amp_readtherest
    Methane has more than 80 times the heating power of carbon dioxide during the first 20 years after it enters the atmosphere. Natural gas combustion accounted for a third of carbon dioxide emissions from the US electricity sector in 2018. Additionally, methane leaks from natural gas extraction and transportation further exacerbate global climate change. While methane poses the greatest threat to the climate due to its greenhouse gas potency, natural gas contains other hydrocarbons that can degrade regional air quality and are detrimental to human health.
    Reducing methane emissions, therefore, can have significant benefits related to climate change, especially in the short term. In particular, methane reductions can help avoid potential climate tipping points and reduce environmental impacts.

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  5. A bridge to nowhere is a bridge where one or both ends are broken, incomplete or disconnected, it does not lead to anything or anyone where it is supposed to or wants to go ...
    The idea that gas can serve as a "bridge" between coal and a truly clean future dates back to 2010. That year, an MIT study funded in part by the natural gas industry outlined how gas could play a role. in reducing the impact of global warming. Four years later, President Obama called natural gas "the bridge fuel that can power our economy with less carbon pollution caused by climate change."
    A barrage of scientific research exposed the fatal flaw in the bridge's fuel argument. The researchers found that gas extraction, processing, and transportation were hopelessly leaking methane, the main constituent of natural gas and a potent global warming pollutant. Their calculations soon revealed that the leaks are huge (think millions of tons each year).
    Reasons why methane regulation cannot make natural gas a climate-friendly “bridge” fuel:
    1. Methane leaks are difficult to control. To date, no one has shown that it is possible to regulate methane leaks. A study from California, for example, where, according to the authors, "oil and gas infrastructure is possibly subject to the most comprehensive emission control regulations in the US." - found high emissions from gas production. One reason gas is so difficult to control is that leaks can account for more than half of the methane emitted into the atmosphere.
    See:
    https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es4046692
    2. Measuring methane leaks is difficult. One of the reasons that methane is difficult to regulate is that this colorless, odorless gas is difficult to measure in the first place. As we found out in our 2016 report, researchers simply haven't found a way to consistently measure how much leakage from gas wells and infrastructure, or how much these leaks have affected atmospheric methane levels. One study estimated that atmospheric methane has more than doubled since pre-industrial times, a much higher estimate than previous research had suggested.
    See:
    https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/07/major-us-cities-are-leaking-methane-twice-rate-previously-belisted
    3. To avoid methane leaks, it is necessary to cover its entire route from extraction, distribution, transport, pipes, and valves. Anywhere you have gas, it can leak. A recent study found that the pipes leak twice as much methane as previously believed.
    4. Gas is pretty bad for the weather, with or without leaks. Gas is bad at all stages. We've known for years that gas, like coal, is wreaking havoc on the climate.
    We will have to change the way we live to meet minimum greenhouse gas emission targets. By giving up the worst fossil fuels like methane, the silver lining is that we open up possibilities for a healthier nature.
    Renewable energy holds great promise as a tool to combat climate change, clean our air, and protect our environment.

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  6. Renewable energy holds great promise as a tool to combat climate change, clean our air, and protect our environment.
    Pollution from the burning of fossil fuels is estimated to be directly responsible for deaths each year - more than 350,000 deaths in total in 2018.
    See:
    Karn Vohra et al., "Global mortality from outdoor fine particle pollution from burning fossil fuels: GEOS-Chem results," Environmental Research, doi: 10.1016 / j.envres.2021.110754, April 2021.
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0013935121000487
    Oil, coal, and gas are responsible for 80% of all US greenhouse gas emissions. Fossil fuels damage the climate when we burn them for energy and as a result of methane leaks that occur during mining, distribution and other parts of the life cycle of fossil fuels.
    See:
    https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-and-sinks-1990-2019

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  7. Research shows that even considering the life cycle impacts of solar panel and wind turbine manufacturing and installation, a rapid transition to emission-free renewable energy would create a much cleaner, healthier, and more sustainable nation.
    See:
    Doug Arent et al., "Implications of High Renewable Electricity Penetration in the US for Water Use, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Land Use, and Materials Supply," Applied Energy, June 15, 2014, DOI: 10.1016 / j.apenergy.2013.12. 022, available at https://www.sciencedirect.com/.../pii/S0306261913010210.
    A bridge to nowhere is the worst use of resources, but science shows that a bridge to a greater climate crisis is simply insane.
    Meanwhile, beyond the myths and publicity of natural gas, a 2019 article in Energy magazine reviewed 181 studies from around the world evaluating the concept of 100% renewable electricity or total energy systems.
    See:
    Kenneth Hansen et al., "Status and prospects for 100% renewable energy systems", Energy, 175: 471-480, DOI: 10.1016 / j.energy.2019.03.092, May 15, 2019
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/.../pii/S0360544219304967
    The article concluded that "[t] he majority of the studies reviewed find that 100% [of renewable energy] is possible from a technical perspective."
    Researchers have largely concluded that the technology we need for a renewable future is already available. As a Nature Communications study put it, "the generation and storage technologies currently available are sufficient for almost 100% of the power system operation."
    See:
    Dmitrii Bogdanov et al., "Radical Transformation Pathway to Sustainable Electricity Through Evolutionary Steps," Nature Communications, Volume 10, DOI: 10.1038 / s41467-019-08855-1, 2019.
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08855-1
    And another study from Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews states: "The technologies needed for renewable scenarios are not only tried and tested, they have also been tested on a large scale."
    T.W. Brown et al., "Response to 'Burden of Proof: A Comprehensive Review of the Feasibility of 100% Renewable Electricity Systems'", Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 92: 834-847, DOI: 10.1016 / j. rser.2018.04 .113, September 2018.
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/.../pii/S1364032118303307
    So, the unescapable question; LUMA means we follow the bridge that only leads us to major climate disasters, or do we stop the madness: Stop LUMA.
    Pachi Ortizfeliciano

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  8. Greetings. This short message is to inform you of various matters of interest, namely:
    1st.- at the moment we reached 10,900 endorsements. We will once again request that people continue to join our cause, including from Puerto Rican communities in the United States;
    2nd.- the first communication we sent has been received and is recorded in the documents being considered by the Department of Energy and the White House. We can stipulate that our concerns have been heard, addressed and are part of an eventual re-evaluation of the allocation of federal funds vis-à-vis energy policy strategy.
    3rd.- I will proceed to the drafting of a second communication with more references and information that support our request with the rigor of scientific arguments. The initial communication was impressive and we understand that we must maintain the level of agile analysis that we have established. In that task I must be in the next few days for delivery next week.
    4th.- we will deal with prudence the events that have occurred with LUMA, they will be mentioned as irrefutable facts that by their very nature raise serious doubts.
    Thank you, we continue.
    Pachi Ortizfeliciano

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  9. Update we have more than 12,000 signatures hile more than 100 communities and some 200 organizaciones have joined the struggle. Seguimos.

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  10. Before we get screwed: The counter-myth: People assume that the reason so much energy still comes from gas and coal power plants is simple economics, that those fuels are cheaper. But while it was once true, research from Our World in Data shows that the cost of renewable energy has dropped dramatically since 2010.
    Watch:
    https://ourworldindata.org/renewable-energy
    This decrease in price is vital for the rapid and widespread adoption of renewable energy in the future.
    Solar energy, in particular, has become cheaper at a dizzying rate. The world's best solar power schemes now offer the "cheapest ... electricity ever" with technology cheaper than coal and gas in most major countries.
    That's according to the International Energy Agency's World Energy Outlook 2020.
    Watch
    https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2020
    The price difference is crucial for a greater and rapid adoption of renewable energy sources in the future, and the effects are already being seen: "It is the relative price that matters for the decision of what type of power plants to build. Has the price come down? Does renewables matter for power plant builder decisions in recent years? Yes. Wind and solar power increased rapidly in recent years; in 2019, renewables accounted for 72 percent of all new capacity additions around the world. "
    In 2010, a megawatt hour of electricity obtained from solar photovoltaic energy cost a world average of $ 378 to generate. By 2019, that cost had dropped to just $ 68.
    IRENA's report, Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2020, finds that the costs of renewable technologies continue to fall "significantly" year over year.
    Watch:
    https://www.irena.org/newsroom/pressreleases/2021/Jun/Majority-of-New-Renewables-Undercut-Cheapest-Fossil-Fuel-on-Cost
    "Today, renewables are the cheapest source of energy," said IRENA CEO Francesco La Camera.
    https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-2021/renewables
    https://www.statista.com/chart/amp/26085/price-per- megawatt-hour-of-electricity-per-source/
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/solar-is-now-cheapest-electricity-in-history-confirms-iea
    https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/07/renewables-cheapest-energy-source/

    Current scientific fact: An international team of researchers has determined that if all available roofs were equipped with solar panels, they could generate enough electricity to power the world, according to their assessment published in Nature Communications, a team led by energy researchers at the University College Cork in Ireland calculated a figure for the total area of ​​all rooftops in the world: about 0.2 million square kilometers, an area almost the size of the UK. The authors calculated that if the entire area were covered with solar energy photovoltaic panels, could generate a total of 27 petawatt hours of electricity per year, more than the world's combined electricity consumption in 2018.
    See:
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25720-2

    A 2020 study by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, a research center within the United States Department of Energy, estimated that solar energy on rooftops could generate approximately four times the amount of electricity used in Puerto Rican homes that anus. And a study conducted earlier this year by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, an energy research firm, said that the $ 9.6 billion in federal aid could be used "profitably" to build enough solar power on rooftops. to generate 75 percent of all Puerto Rico's electricity within 15 years.

    Why are we wasting time, resources and efforts with LUMA Energy, which in 4 months has also proven to be the most mediocre and negligent management of our energy system? The logical follow-up question is:
    Is there a possible reason for Pierluisi to continue the LUMA Energy disaster that does not involve unethical conflicts of interest?

    Pachi Ortizfeliciano

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  11. Before we get screwed ... What trajectory is the global climate currently on? What does the future look like (with carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions)?
    An analysis published in the journal Science evaluated Nationally Determined Commitments (NDCs) and how they might shape Earth's climate. The study authors are from institutions run by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and Imperial College London. Dr Joeri Rogelj, research director at the Grantham Institute in Imperial, said: "To deal with climate change, we must understand future climate risks. There is no single temperature number, so we must analyze how our decisions today increase our chances of warming staying below 2 degrees and 1.5 degrees. " The good news is that in our study we showed how some of the more extreme futures can be excluded ... Agree, and COP26 still has a major task ahead of it. If we really want to get to 1.5 degrees, the promises need to be further strengthened.
    "Ultimately, realizing the long-term climate benefits ... will require putting words into action by implementing newer and improved goals. When we look at climate action data on the ground, it still doesn't match the stated ambition. ... "Several factors changed the trajectories of short-term emissions and long-term climate outcomes, the authors said. Examples include the global shift from fossil fuels to technological advances that made solar panels less expensive. These developments, they said, have helped realize the goals of the Paris Agreement.
    See
    https://phys.org/news/2021-11-climate-pledges-worst-global.html
    "There are a number of ways to get where we need to go in terms of our 2030 commitment," White House climate adviser Gina McCarthy said in an interview with NPR.
    (continúes on next comment)

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  12. (Continues…)
    The Rhodium Group published a report last month (Climatewire, October 19). Rhodium assumed that the EPA and other agencies would create a series of rules for sectors that have not yet been regulated for greenhouse gases, from chemical factories to liquefied natural gas terminals and oil refineries. For existing power plants, Rhodium envisions an 80 percent emissions reduction mandate for coal and gas units by 2030.
    Biden has set a goal of reducing emissions from power plants by 80 percent by 2030 and reducing them to zero five years later.
    Robbie Andrew, principal investigator at the Center for International Climate Research (CICERO), drew the global emissions reduction scenarios needed to limit average global warming to 1.5 ° C. These "mitigation curves" are based on the carbon budget. described in the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 ° C and the methodology for converting a cumulative carbon budget into annual quotas by Michael Raupach, published in Nature Climate Change. What is clear is that the later the emissions peak is reached, the steeper the curve: the longer we wait, the faster emissions reductions must be. If we were to peak emissions today, we would have to cut emissions by about 15% each year to limit warming to 1.5 ° C.
    Two reports, one from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the other from Australian scientists, focus on optimistic scenarios. If all goes well, they said, recent actions will cut two to three tenths of a degree Celsius (0.3 to 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit) from projections made in mid-October.
    Rather than 2.1 degrees Celsius (3.8 Fahrenheit) of warming since pre-industrial times, analyzes project a warming of 1.8 (3.2 degrees Fahrenheit) or 1.9 degrees (3.4 degrees Fahrenheit).
    Still, both projections leave the world far from the 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) of warming since pre-industrial times.
    Watch
    https://www.nationalobserver.com/tags/international-energy-agency
    The director of Climate Impact Research at the Potsdam Institute, Johan Rockstrom, who was not part of any of the investigations, said that the small differences in this temperature level are important: "Every tenth of a degree matters because it gets worse and worse" .
    The new IEA analysis includes promises made this week at the UN's COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland.
    Watch
    https://www.iea.org/commentaries/cop26-climate-pledges-could-help-limit-global-warming-to-1-8-c-but-implementing-them-will-be-the-key
    https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2021

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  13. "It is absolutely irresponsible and unscientific for the current government of Puerto Rico to allege ignorance of the dynamic flow of information and research of climate Science. Equally irresponsible as a government is to try to “stick its head in the sand” like an ostriches so as not to recognize LUMA Energy's failure as a monumental error and that a new strategy based on rooftop photovoltaic resources and a modular network integrating microgrids is urgently needed. Pierluisi's complicity is not logically sustained, or is it consistent with the United States' energy policy so federal funding to rebuild the electrical system is like waiting for Godot.

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  14. An uninterrupted cascade in 2021 of deadly floods, heat waves and wildfires on four continents, combined with increasingly detailed projections, left no doubt that exceeding the 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.6 degrees Fahrenheit) warming limit ) envisaged in the Paris Agreement would push the Earth into the red zone.
    2021 also saw Part 1 of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the first comprehensive synthesis of climate science in seven years. It found that global warming is virtually certain to exceed 1.5 ° C, probably within a decade. Meanwhile, ocean levels are rising faster than anticipated and will do so for centuries.
    And forests, soil and oceans, which absorb more than half of humanity's carbon pollution, are showing signs of saturation.
    Then there is the threat of "tipping points" that could cause permafrost to release massive amounts of CO2 and methane, the Amazon basin to transform into savannah, and the ice sheets to shed enough mass to submerge cities and deltas that are home to hundreds of millions.
    "Make no mistake, we are still on the road to hell," said Dave Reay, director of the Institute for Climate Change at the University of Edinburgh.
    "The costs of adaptation are significantly higher than previously estimated, resulting in a growing 'financial adaptation gap'," said a 4,000-page executive summary of the report.
    In Glasgow, former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney boasted that nearly 500 banks, insurers and asset managers worth $ 130 trillion were willing to finance climate action.
    "If we only had to transform one sector, or take a country off fossil fuels, we would have done it a long time ago," said Christiana Figueres, who spearheaded the UN climate convention when the Paris agreement was reached.
    "But all sectors of the global economy have to be decarbonized and all countries must switch to clean technologies."
    "We can't just wait for open market incentives to get away with it, we have to set global carbon prices, we have to set science-based targets that become climate laws," said Johan Rockstrom , Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. .
    Watch
    https://apple.news/AecHjtZTtQUiQ84M09t2UdQ

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